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Oil prices rise on moderate U.S. inflation data, strong demand
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices extended gains from the previous session on Thursday on signs of stronger demand in the U.S. where data showed slower inflation than markets expected, strengthening the argument for an interest rate cut which could result in even stronger demand. U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories fell, reflecting a rise in both refining activity and fuel demand, showed data from the Energy Information Administration, or EIA. Crude inventories fell 2.5 million barrels to 457 million barrels in the week ended May 10, the EIA said, versus the 543,000 barrel consensus analyst forecast in a Reuters poll. Signs of slowing inflation and stronger demand were supporting prices, ANZ Research said in a client note, as is geopolitical risk which it said remains elevated. Gains were constrained after the IEA trimmed its forecast for 2024 oil demand growth, widening the gap between its view and that of producer group OPEC.
Persons: Brent Organizations: U.S, West Texas Intermediate, Federal Reserve, Energy Information Administration, EIA, ANZ Research, OPEC, Global, Organization for Economic Co Locations: Nolan , Texas, U.S, East, Gaza, Rafah, Qatar, Egypt, Israel
Gold prices inched up on Thursday following a sharp rise in the last session as the dollar and bond yields weakened on the increasing likelihood of rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve as early as September. Spot gold rose 0.1% at $2,388.10 per ounce, as of 0255 GMT, after gaining more than 1% to its highest since April 19 on Wednesday. "Following the April consumer price index data, the odds for a potential September rate cut have firmed, which suits the gold price from a yield perspective," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. However, a potential bounce in the dollar or treasury yields could be the biggest hurdle for gold price in the remainder of the week." Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Austan Goolsbee, Jerome Powell's Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Treasury, KCM, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Locations: .
Dollar sags as slower U.S. inflation boosts rate cut expectations
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. Stocks and other risk-sensitive assets such as the Australian dollar led gains in the wake of the data release. The New Zealand dollar hit a two-month high at $0.6131. Softer-than-expected retail sales figures, which were flat last month instead of the 0.4% gain that economists had forecast, reinforced the newfound confidence in rate cuts.
Persons: Sterling, Bart Wakabayashi, China's, Bitcoin Organizations: Australian, New Zealand, U.S, State, European Central Bank Locations: Asia, Tokyo, Treasuries
European stocks are set to open in positive territory Thursday, buoyed by a relief rally for global markets following softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data. The U.S. consumer price index rose 0.3% in April, below the 0.4% rise predicted by the Dow Jones, data released Wednesday showed. Consumer prices still grew 3.4% from a year ago, in line with market estimates, but the data has encouraged traders to believe that the U.S. Federal Reserve could begin to cut rates in the near future. Asia-Pacific markets rose Thursday after Wall Street benchmarks closed at record highs overnight following the inflation data. U.S. stock futures were near flat overnight.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific
A trader works during the closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 17, 2020 at Wall Street in New York City. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street hits record highThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose to record highs after inflation data came in lower than expected. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 350 points as investors bet the Federal Reserve may cut rates in September. Inflation easesApril's consumer price index rose 0.3%, slightly less than expected, while on a 12-month basis, inflation increased 3.4% in line with economists' forecasts.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Anton Peraire, James Peraire, Biden, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Wall, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Tech, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Sky News, U.S . Treasury Department, GameStop, AMC, Justice, MIT, U.S Locations: New York City, America, cryptocurrency, China
New York CNN —Some progressives have frequently blamed corporate greed for fueling the high cost of living that Americans are fed up with. That’s corporate greed. That’s corporate greed. Although the paper did not directly mention corporate greed, shrinkflation or Biden, the research undercuts the argument that greedflation drove the early inflation. That report found corporate profits were to blame for 34% of inflation since the start of Covid-19.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, ” Warren, “ That’s, It’s, , , Joe Biden, ” Biden, CNN’s Erin Burnett, Biden, – we’re, shrinkflation, greedflation, Jeremy Edwards, ” Edwards, , , Greg Valliere, ” Valliere, Jerome Powell, Caroline Ciccone, profiteer Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Fed, SF Fed, , CNN, White, AGF Investments, Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Locations: New York, America, Kansas
But economists cautioned that one month of encouraging data was far from enough to set those worries to rest. Both overall and core prices rose 0.3 percent from the previous month, down from 0.4 percent in February and March. The encouraging inflation report on Wednesday is unlikely to change those expectations. The report is also likely to be met with relief at the White House after what has been a rough recent run of inflation data for President Biden. Gasoline prices rose a seasonally adjusted 2.8 percent in April from March.
Persons: , , Stephen Stanley, there’s, Sarah House, Biden, Jerome H, Powell, we’re, Blerina Uruci, Rowe Price, Jeanna Smialek, Jim Tankersley Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Santander, White, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo, Amsterdam, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Nasdaq rose to a record close, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 126 points. Meme craze coolsShares of GameStop and AMC rose on Tuesday, extending Monday's gains after "Roaring Kitty" made a reappearance. Shares, however, gave up some of their earlier gains, suggesting enthusiasm for the so-called meme stocks was fading. Powell: Inflation falling slowlyFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation was not slowing as quickly as anticipated, requiring the central bank to maintain its current interest rates for longer.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Alibaba, Powell, CNBC's Yun Li Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, GameStop, AMC, Biden, AMC Entertainment Locations: Hangzhou, New York, China, Amsterdam
Here are the key new offerings the company announced: Uber ShuttleZoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards Review trip screen for Uber Shuttle Courtesy: UberRiders looking for a more affordable way to get to the airport, work and live events, such as sports games and concerts, can reserve seats on an Uber Shuttle. Uber said the shuttle services employ commercially licensed drivers, and users can tip and rate them directly within the Uber app. Costco on Uber EatsZoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards Costco on Uber Eats Courtesy: UberUber said Costco will be available as an on-demand option within Uber Eats in select locations across the U.S. starting Wednesday. Costco members can enter their member numbers in the Uber Eats app and are eligible for 20% off of Uber One, the company's subscription membership. Uber One for StudentsZoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards Uber One for Students Courtesy: Uber
Persons: Uber, Dara Khosrowshahi, Ilya S, San Diego Organizations: GE, Chelsea Industrial, Savenok, Getty, Wednesday, Uber, Medicare, Costco, U.S, nonmembers Locations: New York City, Chicago , Pittsburgh, Charlotte, N.C, New York, San Francisco , Los Angeles, Chicago, Atlanta, San
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell is 'running a risk' of inflation rising again, economist saysSteven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, discusses the outlook for U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve monetary policy.
Persons: Powell, Steven Blitz Organizations: TS Lombard, Federal Reserve
The Consumer Price Index climbed 3.4 percent in April from a year earlier, down from 3.5 percent in March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. It was the lowest annual increase in core inflation since early 2021. Economists cautioned that one month of encouraging data was far from enough to put those worries to rest. But they said that the data should ease concerns, at least for now, that inflation is re-accelerating. Both overall and core prices rose 0.3 percent from the previous month, down from 0.4 percent in February and March.
Persons: , Stephen Stanley Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Santander
European markets are heading for a higher open Wednesday as global investors look ahead to the latest U.S. inflation print. Traders are hoping that a return to Federal Reserve rate hikes is largely off the table despite a recent slew of hotter-than-expected inflation prints. On Tuesday, April's producer price index came in higher than economists' expectations, dampening expectations that the Fed would begin cutting rates later this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated Tuesday that inflation is falling more slowly than expected, likely keeping interest rates elevated for an extended period. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher overnight, tracking Wall Street gains on Tuesday that saw the Nasdaq Composite index hit a fresh record closing high despite the strong inflation data.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Traders, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq Locations: Asia, Pacific
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Meme craze coolsShares of GameStop and AMC rose on Tuesday, extending Monday's gains after "Roaring Kitty" made a reappearance. Shares, however, gave up some of their earlier gains, suggesting enthusiasm for the so-called meme stocks was fading. Powell: Inflation falling slowlyFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation was not slowing as quickly as anticipated, requiring the central bank to maintain its current interest rates for longer.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Australia's, CNBC's Yun Li Organizations: Google Gemini, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, GameStop, AMC, Biden, Sony, China's CSI, AMC Entertainment Locations: Brussels, Belgium, China, Amsterdam, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, South Korea
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThis week's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.09%, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched up to 6.38% this week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.
Persons: Fannie Mae, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron
Most non-retired adults have some type of retirement savings, but only 36% think their savings are on track. New research from economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York finds that this retirement savings deficit hasn’t made a dent in when Americans plan to exit, or partially exit, the workforce. “The pandemic-induced change in retirement expectations may continue to affect the labor market in years to come,” they wrote. Yes, but: This is a survey of expectations, researchers at the New York Fed are quick to point out. Just because Americans say they plan to shift to part-time work or retire early, it doesn’t mean that they’ll be able to.
Persons: Felix Aidala, Gizem Kosar, Wilbert van der, , They’re, Alicia Wallace, delinquencies, Joelle, CNN’s Parija, Donna Morris, Morris, ” Morris Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Census, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Social Security, New, Survey, SCE, triannual, Social, Social Security Agency, Lawmakers, New York Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of New, , Public Policy Research, Credit, Walmart, CNN, San Francisco Bay Area Locations: New York, United States, York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Bentonville , Arkansas, Walmart’s Dallas, Atlanta, Toronto, Bentonville, San Francisco Bay, Hoboken , New Jersey
As stocks from a variety of sectors saw gains on Wednesday, CNBC's Jim Cramer examined what he believes is a multi-faceted bull market. "This market feels almost blasphemous to me because we're being led by an outrageously bullish combination of stocks, the kind of stocks that absolutely should not be going higher at the same time," he said. Cramer suggested that "the stocks leading us higher are supposed to be mutually exclusive," but that's currently not the case. For example, he noted that industrial, utility and tech stocks are going up at the same time. He also said many believe there's an "either-or" market where tech stocks can climb or other groups can.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, we're, Cramer, that's Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Wall, Federal Reserve
Traders walk the floor during morning trading at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on May 14, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures were near flat Wednesday evening after a lighter-than-expected inflation reading propelled the major averages to record highs. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched lower by 18 points, or 0.05%. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.02%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered eked out a 0.07% gain. The Dow climbed 0.88%, while the broad-market S&P 500 gained 1.17%, breaking above 5,300 for the first time.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Yung, Yu Ma, Armour Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Wealth Management, CNBC, Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Baidu Locations: New York City
Gold prices flat as U.S. inflation data takes centre-stage
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices traded flat on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a critical U.S. inflation print that could offer clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cut trajectory. Spot gold held its ground at $2,359.99 per ounce, as of 0704 GMT, trading in a narrow $6 range, after gaining 1% on Tuesday. According to a Reuters poll, the data is expected to show that core inflation in April rose 0.3% month-over-month, down from 0.4% the prior month. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. However, data on Tuesday showed that U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in April.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Bullion, Jerome Powell Organizations: Fort, BHP Group Locations: Fort Knox Alaska, Kinross, Tetlin , Alaska, ., U.S, American
Martin Gruenberg is still the leader of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, an agency that supervises U.S. banks, but after a bipartisan grilling on Wednesday by members of a House committee overseeing bank regulators, he appeared to be hanging on by a thread. Democrats expressed dismay over his responses to the crisis at his agency, after a scathing report of a culture of widespread sexual harassment and discrimination. One congresswoman appeared to call for him to resign, as Republicans have been doing for months. “Personally, I do not have confidence that you can continue to lead in this role,” Representative Ayanna S. Pressley, Democrat of Massachusetts, told Mr. Gruenberg during an exchange. (Two other federal bank regulators, the acting comptroller of the currency, Michael Hsu, and the Federal Reserve vice chair, Michael Barr, also offered testimony on bank regulatory matters, but much of the committee’s focus was on the F.D.I.C.)
Persons: Martin Gruenberg, Ayanna S, Pressley, Gruenberg, , Michael Hsu, Michael Barr Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve Locations: Massachusetts
Former Fed Governor Randy Kroszner reacts to April's CPI report
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Randy Kroszner reacts to April's CPI reportFormer Fed Governor Randy Kroszner joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what would give the FOMC confidence to cut rates, if the Federal Reserve is looking at recent microeconomic data, and more.
Persons: Randy Kroszner Organizations: Former, Federal
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.8061% after falling by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday is investors considered the outlook for inflationary pressures and awaited the latest consumer price index data. The producer price index for April, which tracks wholesale prices, came in higher than expected on Tuesday. This comes ahead of the consumer price index for April which is expected to be released Wednesday. On an annual basis, inflation is anticipated to slow slightly to 3.4% from 3.5% in March.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Core CPI
The consumer price index, a broad measure of how much goods and services cost at the cash register, increased 0.3% from March, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services reported Wednesday. Excluding food and energy, the key core inflation reading came in at 0.3% monthly and 3.6% on an annual basis, both as forecast. The core 12-month inflation reading was the lowest since April 2021. Futures traders raised the implied probability that the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates in September. That figure is adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, suggesting consumers did not keep up with the pace of price increases.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services, Markets, Treasury, Federal Reserve
U.S. crude oil inventories fell 3.104 million barrels in the week ended May 10, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Gasoline inventories fell by 1.269 million barrels and distillates rose by 673,000 barrels. "Expectations of another drawdown in U.S. oil inventories should support oil prices," ANZ Research said in a note. Oil prices also found support from a softer U.S. dollar and stimulus measures from China, said independent market analyst Tina Teng, with a weaker greenback making dollar-denominated oil cheaper for investors holding other currencies. "The U.S. CPI and China's economic data are key to driving oil prices for the rest of the week," she added.
Persons: David Knox, Petra Nova, Brent, Tina Teng, Teng Organizations: NGR Energy, JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration Corporation, WA Parish, U.S, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, ANZ Research, Federal, CPI Locations: NGR, Bend County, Petra, WA, China, Fort McMurray
Mortgage rates last week dropped to the lowest level since April, but buyers are still struggling to afford today's housing market. As a result, mortgage demand flattened at a weak pace. "While the downward move in rates benefits prospective homebuyers, mortgage rates are still much higher than they were a year ago, while for-sale inventory remains tight," Kan added. Another read on inflation will influence the next move from the Federal Reserve on interest rates. "The difference between a result of 0.2 or 0.4 is surprisingly massive when it comes to the world of interest rates.
Persons: Joel Kan, Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Mortgage News
CNN —After a hot start to 2024, inflation cooled back down in April, providing a bit of hope for Americans worn down by elevated prices. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.3%, a slower pace of growth than the 0.4% seen in the two months prior. Rising gasoline and shelter costs accounted for more than 70% of the monthly increase in overall inflation, according to the report. Wednesday’s report landed mostly in line with economists’ expectations, which is a welcome turnabout from January, February and March, when CPI (and other inflation gauges) came in hot, hot, hot. The Federal Reserve has been wanting to see meaningful process on inflation before it starts trimming back interest rates.
Persons: Wednesday’s Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Federal Reserve
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